Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.1% | 62.9% | +2.9 | ✓ (19.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +22 (91-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. de Souza | 38 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 29 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1 | - |
| I. Castro | 24 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -8 | - |
| C. Miller | 24 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| S. Lehning | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Harding | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Herrington | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Bales | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Paris | 10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kia Vaughn | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 31 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell | 28 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| N. Powell | 26 | 7-8 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| E. Carson | 23 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Q. Hollingsworth | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| P. Pierson | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| A. Montgomery | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| S. Spencer | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| F. Chester | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter