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2011-07-13

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 56.1% 43.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 39.9% 60.1% +2.3 (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -

Actual: New York Liberty +22 (91-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza 38 2-9 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 5 2 5 8 -
A. McCoughtry 29 5-16 0-1 7-8 3 1 2 0 6 17 1 -
I. Castro 24 2-12 0-3 1-1 2 0 1 0 4 5 -8 -
C. Miller 24 7-11 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 15 8 -
S. Lehning 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 2 7 -
L. Harding 20 1-6 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 2 2 -
A. Herrington 20 5-7 0-0 2-6 3 1 1 0 2 12 8 -
A. Bales 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
C. Paris 10 4-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 2 0 9 13 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Vaughn 32 5-13 0-0 4-5 4 0 1 2 2 14 6 -
C. Pondexter 31 5-13 0-5 0-0 6 5 1 0 3 10 6 -
L. Mitchell 28 4-5 2-3 2-2 1 5 1 0 1 12 13 -
N. Powell 26 7-8 5-5 1-1 7 3 0 0 1 20 21 -
E. Carson 23 2-10 1-1 4-4 5 5 2 1 0 9 12 -
Q. Hollingsworth 18 3-8 0-0 4-6 6 0 1 1 0 10 10 -
P. Pierson 17 4-9 0-0 3-4 2 3 1 1 0 11 9 -
A. Montgomery 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
S. Colson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4 -
S. Spencer 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
F. Chester 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter