Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -7 (105-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 35 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 9-21 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 32 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 24 | - |
| T. Johnson | 26 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| K. Braxton | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Bonner | 21 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Sanford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 33 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| L. Whalen | 31 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| R. Brunson | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 27 | - |
| M. Moore | 28 | 6-18 | 0-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 15 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Harris | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Adair | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Houston | 5 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Wright | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter