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2011-07-12

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +8 (79-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marissa Coleman * 38 6-9 4-6 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 16 17 -
Matee Ajavon * 34 4-14 1-5 4-4 1 7 3 0 4 13 6 -
Kelly Miller * 34 2-6 2-2 2-2 3 4 2 0 4 8 7 -
Crystal Langhorne * 33 3-10 0-0 4-6 0 1 0 0 1 10 0 -
Nicky Anosike * 26 3-6 0-0 1-3 7 1 1 0 0 7 10 -
Victoria Dunlap 14 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Jasmine Thomas 8 3-3 2-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
Kerri Gardin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
Karima Christmas-Kelly 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 35 6-12 0-2 8-9 6 3 4 1 1 20 21 -
Sue Bird * 34 8-14 2-4 4-5 1 3 1 0 1 22 12 -
Tanisha Wright * 31 1-5 0-1 4-5 6 7 0 0 2 6 12 -
Camille Smith * 29 5-11 0-0 2-5 4 3 3 0 2 12 9 -
Le'coe Willingham * 24 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 6 9 -
Katie Smith 27 1-3 1-2 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 5 9 -
Ashley Robinson 13 4-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 4 8 3 -
Belinda Snell 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter