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2011-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 58.4% 41.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.4% 10.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.8% 10.2% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -14 (58-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Knight * 38 4-11 2-7 2-3 2 7 1 0 2 12 9 -
Darius Miller * 36 4-9 2-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 1 10 9 -
Josh Harrellson * 33 6-9 0-1 2-2 10 1 1 1 1 14 17 -
Terrence Jones * 32 2-9 0-0 3-4 5 1 2 1 1 7 6 -
Doron Lamb * 22 6-10 2-4 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 15 7 -
DeAndre Liggins 34 5-6 3-3 1-2 9 3 0 0 1 14 19 -
Eloy Vargas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jarrod Polson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Stacey Poole 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jon Hood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trevor Releford * 35 5-11 0-2 0-1 3 4 2 0 2 10 6 -
Tony Mitchell * 31 6-13 1-3 3-6 6 2 0 0 0 16 11 -
JaMychal Green * 30 3-8 0-0 6-6 9 1 0 1 0 12 15 -
Charvez Davis * 29 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 9 3 -
Chris Hines * 29 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 6 6 -
Andrew Steele 24 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
Senario Hillman 12 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Ben Eblen 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Charles Hankerson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Carl Engstrom 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jason Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter