๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 12.8% 87.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 17.0% 83.0% - โœ“
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“

Actual: Utah State Aggies +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
La'Shard Anderson * 38 6-15 1-5 5-7 3 4 2 0 4 18 8 -
Jeff Elorriaga * 36 2-4 2-4 4-4 5 3 4 0 1 10 17 -
Ryan Watkins * 19 1-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
Robert Arnold * 19 2-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 5 1 -
Daequon Montreal * 17 4-7 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 1 10 2 -
Paul Noonan 23 0-7 0-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 0 -3 -
Tre Nichols 14 3-8 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
Sean Imadiyi 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Westly Perryman 10 3-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 8 9 -
Thomas Bropleh 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
Zack Moritz 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 0 0 2 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brockeith Pane * 36 5-8 0-0 9-9 3 4 1 0 3 19 16 -
Tai Wesley * 34 5-8 1-1 8-10 9 3 3 1 2 19 25 -
Tyler Newbold * 31 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 3 1 -
Nate Bendall * 29 7-11 0-0 2-3 6 1 2 0 4 16 10 -
Pooh Williams * 21 1-5 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 4 0 -
Brian Green 28 5-7 2-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 12 11 -
Brady Jardine 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Morgan Grim 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
James Walker 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter