Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +8 (77-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Anderson * | 38 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Elorriaga * | 36 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| R. Watkins * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Arnold * | 19 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Montreal * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| P. Noonan | 23 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Nichols | 14 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| S. Imadiyi | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Perryman | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Pane * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Wesley * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 8-10 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 25 | - |
| T. Newbold * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Bendall * | 29 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| P. Williams * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Green | 28 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Jardine | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Grim | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Walker III | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter