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San Diego State Aztecs 72
@
BYU Cougars 54
2011-03-12

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 32.0% 68.0% - ✗
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 ✗ (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - ✗
Efficiency 46.2% 53.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.0% 42.0% - ✓

Actual: BYU Cougars -18 (54-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Leonard * 35 9-16 2-3 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 20 10 -
D.J. Gay * 34 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Thomas * 33 4-10 0-0 1-3 7 3 1 2 0 9 12 -
B. White * 31 7-12 0-0 7-7 12 2 5 0 2 21 26 -
C. Tapley * 27 5-10 2-4 2-2 3 1 2 0 1 14 9 -
J. Rahon 16 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
B. Carlwell 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Franklin 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Shelton 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette * 40 10-25 2-7 8-11 6 2 0 0 4 30 9 -
J. Emery * 36 4-11 3-8 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 11 6 -
N. Hartsock * 34 2-10 0-5 0-0 6 2 0 2 1 4 3 -
C. Abouo * 32 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
K. Collinsworth * 30 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 0 2 2 7 -
J. Anderson 14 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
S. Rogers 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
B. Zylstra 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Magnusson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter