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2011-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Morris 28 6-13 1-1 3-3 2 3 1 0 5 16 4 -
T. Hardaway Jr. * 38 5-14 2-9 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 15 5 -
Zack Novak * 38 2-8 2-6 0-1 6 2 1 0 0 6 7 -
Stu Douglass * 36 3-8 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 7 2 -
Darius Morris * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 16 17 -
Jordan Morgan * 21 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 2 1 6 8 -
Evan Smotrycz 19 3-8 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 2 -
Matt Vogrich 19 0-2 0-2 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 2 8 -
Blake McLimans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jon Diebler * 40 6-12 3-8 1-2 5 3 1 1 5 16 9 -
William Buford * 40 7-15 0-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 16 5 -
Jared Sullinger * 36 5-13 0-1 4-10 13 2 2 1 1 14 18 -
David Lighty * 22 1-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
Aaron Craft 23 1-2 1-1 4-7 2 3 1 0 0 7 11 -
Deshaun Thomas 21 4-6 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 9 7 -
Jordan Sibert 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter