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2011-03-12

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 72.6% 27.4% -
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% -
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -
Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.2% 75.8% -
Log Adjusted 24.5% 75.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (92-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith * 43 5-9 4-7 0-0 6 4 3 0 4 14 14 -
D. Stitt * 42 9-20 1-4 6-10 2 4 4 0 2 25 13 -
A. Young * 37 5-11 4-8 0-1 2 5 2 0 1 14 11 -
J. Grant * 27 2-8 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 4 3 -
D. Booker * 24 4-8 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 0 9 7 -
M. Jennings 29 6-8 3-5 1-1 7 0 0 0 5 16 10 -
Z. Anderson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Narcisse 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Baciu 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
C. Stanton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Barnes * 41 12-17 6-8 10-11 8 1 0 0 3 40 29 -
K. Marshall * 40 2-11 1-4 3-7 1 9 1 1 5 8 4 -
D. Strickland * 38 0-2 0-0 4-6 3 4 2 0 2 4 9 -
J. Henson * 38 8-13 0-1 2-4 11 0 2 2 5 18 15 -
T. Zeller * 36 6-12 0-0 2-2 6 2 0 0 0 14 10 -
L. McDonald 16 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
J. Knox 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 2 1 0 2 5 -
J. Watts 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter