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2011-03-12

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 86.5% 13.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -3 (66-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lamb * 35 5-11 1-1 2-2 7 3 1 2 3 13 12 -
R. Smith * 33 4-9 1-3 3-4 7 1 1 2 2 12 12 -
K. Walker * 33 6-14 0-3 7-9 2 3 3 0 5 19 8 -
A. Oriakhi * 31 4-7 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 0 1 10 11 -
T. Olander * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Napier 25 1-6 1-3 2-2 3 1 3 0 3 5 3 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 19 1-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
C. Okwandu 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Beverly 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 2 0 0 4 4 -
N. Giffey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kuric * 37 3-8 2-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 8 8 -
P. Knowles * 33 7-17 4-11 0-0 3 0 3 2 4 18 5 -
P. Siva * 29 5-9 1-3 2-2 7 7 2 0 4 13 16 -
C. Smith * 29 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 6 2 -
T. Jennings * 20 4-6 0-0 3-5 6 0 1 0 2 11 10 -
M. Marra 20 0-3 0-3 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
G. Dieng 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
E. Justice 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Goode 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Van Treese 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter