Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.3 | ✓ (21.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +39 (102-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pedersen | 37 | 4-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 9 | - |
| A. Riley | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Holt | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Cambage | 19 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 4 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Lacy | 16 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Lewis | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Jones | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Reed | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Dupree | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| T. Johnson | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 22 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| P. Taylor | 19 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| K. Braxton | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Sanford | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 18 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| O. Sanni | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter