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Tulsa Shock 63
@
Phoenix Mercury 102
2011-07-10

Model Predictions

Model Tulsa Shock Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 8.4% 91.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 8.3% 91.7% - ✓
Margin 4.6% 95.4% +16.7 ✓ (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 10.0% 90.0% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Mercury +39 (102-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tulsa Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pedersen 37 4-17 1-3 2-2 7 2 2 2 2 11 5 -
T. Jackson-Jones 35 7-12 0-0 5-6 2 0 2 1 3 19 9 -
A. Riley 28 2-6 1-4 4-4 0 5 2 0 3 9 7 -
A. Holt 23 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 0 3 -
L. Cambage 19 7-10 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 1 6 15 4 -
S. Swoopes 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 0 0 2 -
J. Lacy 16 0-5 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Lewis 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 3 0 -
M. Jones 11 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 6 6 -
C. Reed 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dupree 24 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 3 0 1 1 12 13 -
T. Johnson 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 2 4 -
M. Ferdinand-Harris 23 4-11 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 0 4 10 3 -
D. Bonner 22 5-9 2-2 1-2 4 0 2 1 1 13 10 -
P. Taylor 19 7-8 3-4 1-1 3 3 2 0 1 18 17 -
K. Braxton 19 5-5 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 4 4 10 10 -
N. Sanford 19 3-5 0-0 6-8 7 1 0 0 1 12 14 -
D. Taurasi 18 3-7 1-3 5-5 2 6 2 0 2 12 13 -
A. Gray-Lawson 18 2-6 2-3 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 8 3 -
O. Sanni 16 2-3 0-0 1-4 2 0 1 0 2 5 3 -

* = starter