๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-07-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 75.6% 24.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - โœ—
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.9% 50.1% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky +12 (81-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. de Souza 32 7-19 0-0 0-0 7 2 3 2 3 14 6 -
Angel McCoughtry 30 6-23 0-2 5-6 8 6 2 1 5 17 6 -
I. Castro 29 4-5 1-2 3-4 6 2 0 0 4 12 11 -
L. Harding 29 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 6 0 -
A. Bales 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
S. Irvin 14 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 2 1 2 7 -
S. Lehning 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 3 0 4 -
C. Paris 11 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
C. Miller 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 2 2 -
A. Herrington 11 4-6 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 10 4 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Epiphanny Prince 36 6-16 1-4 11-12 3 2 3 0 0 24 16 -
Sylvia Fowles 34 4-8 0-0 2-3 12 0 3 5 5 10 17 -
Courtney Vandersloot 30 7-10 0-1 2-4 3 9 3 0 7 16 14 -
M. Snow 29 4-8 0-0 5-5 7 2 0 6 1 13 19 -
T. Young 18 3-5 0-0 2-5 3 0 0 0 3 8 3 -
E. Thorn 16 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 5 1 -
C. Kraayeveld 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 3 -
A. Bjorklund 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
C. Swords 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter