Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.1% | 82.9% | +8.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +23 (90-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lawson | 31 | 2-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Tina Charles | 26 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| A. Jones | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 25 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Griffin | 24 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| T. White | 20 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. McCray | 17 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| K. Greene | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Walker | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Moore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hightower | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 29 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| R. Brunson | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Moore | 27 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| L. Whalen | 26 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Harris | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Houston | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Adair | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Wright | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter