Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Tulsa Shock | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tulsa Shock -8 (78-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Taylor | 28 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| D. Bonner | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 26 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| C. Dupree | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 21 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Braxton | 15 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| N. Sanford | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Sanni | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pedersen | 35 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Lewis | 30 | 3-13 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Holt | 25 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| S. Swoopes | 22 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Lacy | 17 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| A. Riley | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Cambage | 16 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| M. Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter