Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +13 (78-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Miller * | 33 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Victoria Dunlap * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Marissa Coleman * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ta'Shia Phillips | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joy Cheek | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 35 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 14-17 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 33 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tamera Young | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Angie Bjorklund | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter