Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +19 (101-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hoffman | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| T. Thompson | 27 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Penicheiro | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| N. Quinn | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L. Sanders | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Lacy | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. O'Hea | 11 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 28 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 28 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| P. Taylor | 26 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| K. Braxton | 23 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 22 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Johnson | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Swanier | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Sanford | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| O. Sanni | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter