Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +13 (97-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epiphanny Prince | 35 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Young | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| M. Snow | 24 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| L. Wisdom-Hylton | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Thorn | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Swords | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Bjorklund | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 29 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 11-12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 28 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 23 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| K. Braxton | 22 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| K. Swanier | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Sanford | 7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
* = starter