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2011-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.3% 64.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Shurna * 45 7-13 3-6 6-6 5 0 0 2 0 23 17 -
Michael Thompson * 45 5-12 1-4 4-4 2 3 1 2 1 15 10 -
Alex Marcotullio * 44 2-7 2-6 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 6 4 -
Drew Crawford * 43 4-16 0-4 4-4 10 2 0 1 1 12 8 -
Luka Mirkovic * 24 1-1 1-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Davide Curletti 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Nick Fruendt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jon Diebler * 45 4-10 1-5 4-5 3 0 1 0 0 13 7 -
Jared Sullinger * 45 2-12 0-0 16-18 18 0 0 0 2 20 24 -
William Buford * 43 3-14 1-5 0-2 5 1 2 2 2 7 1 -
David Lighty * 37 3-8 0-1 2-2 6 0 0 3 1 8 8 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Aaron Craft 40 6-11 1-3 4-5 7 2 0 2 1 17 16 -
Deshaun Thomas 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter