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2011-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 32.6% 67.4% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 9.8% 90.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.3% 92.7% -
Log Adjusted 7.6% 92.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Grant * 35 4-10 4-7 4-6 2 5 4 0 3 16 14 -
D. Scott * 32 6-12 0-3 0-0 5 1 3 0 3 12 6 -
A. Thomas * 30 4-12 4-11 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 12 4 -
R. Johnson * 27 5-8 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 3 12 6 -
R. Brown * 26 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
G. Adams 25 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Gamble 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Jones 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Marshall * 35 2-9 2-5 0-0 4 10 1 0 4 6 8 -
H. Barnes * 34 7-13 4-10 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 18 11 -
J. Henson * 33 3-8 0-0 4-6 13 0 0 5 4 10 16 -
D. Strickland * 28 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 0 0 -
T. Zeller * 26 5-8 0-0 3-4 9 2 0 0 2 13 14 -
L. McDonald 22 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 11 5 -
J. Knox 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Watts 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
S. Cooper 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
P. Crouch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D.J. Johnston 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Bolick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Hatchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter