Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +5 (60-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 18 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 21 | - |
| M. Davis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| B. Cole * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Paul | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 24 | - |
| J. Richmond | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Leonard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| S. Douglass * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | - |
| Z. Novak * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| D. Morris * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 27 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| E. Smotrycz | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Christian | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter