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2011-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% - โœ—
Margin 49.9% 50.1% +0.0 โœ— (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 72.0% 28.0% - โœ“

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -6 (77-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kuric * 45 6-8 2-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 14 14 -
C. Smith * 36 1-11 1-6 4-6 5 1 1 0 1 7 2 -
P. Knowles * 32 6-19 2-7 6-6 3 4 0 0 2 20 6 -
P. Siva * 29 5-10 1-2 4-6 5 7 1 0 1 15 17 -
T. Jennings * 26 5-9 0-0 6-7 5 0 1 3 0 16 16 -
M. Marra 29 1-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 3 1 -
G. Dieng 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
E. Justice 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Goode 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Van Treese 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scott Martin * 44 8-15 3-8 2-4 8 3 2 0 1 21 18 -
Carleton Scott * 44 4-8 2-5 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 10 10 -
Ben Hansbrough * 43 3-16 2-8 5-8 7 5 1 0 6 13 4 -
Tim Abromaitis * 41 5-10 1-3 5-5 3 3 0 0 0 16 12 -
Tyrone Nash * 21 3-6 0-0 7-8 1 0 0 2 0 13 10 -
Jack Cooley 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 2 0 4 11 -
Eric Atkins 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -

* = starter