Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre'Von Willis * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Chace Stanback * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brice Massamba | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Derrick Jasper | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 40 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| B. White * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Rahon | 12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Franklin | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter