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2011-03-11

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Margin 21.8% 78.2% +7.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.7% 65.3% - โœ“

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +5 (67-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Vucevic * 40 6-12 0-3 4-5 12 5 1 3 5 16 20 -
D. Smith * 39 3-11 1-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 7 1 -
A. Stepheson * 35 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 2 8 8 -
M. Simmons * 32 8-11 3-4 1-4 2 1 1 0 0 20 13 -
J. Fontan * 28 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 7 6 -
M. Jones 25 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 4 6 -
G. Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Parrom * 31 3-9 0-1 0-1 6 3 1 0 2 6 5 -
Solomon Hill * 30 0-3 0-0 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Derrick Williams * 30 7-10 1-3 5-6 6 2 0 0 3 20 15 -
L. Jones * 28 2-6 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 7 2 -
Jesse Perry * 24 4-7 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
Jamelle Horne 15 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 3 -
Jordin Mayes 12 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 8 7 -
Kyle Fogg 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Kyryl Natyazhko 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Brendon Lavender 7 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter