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2011-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 13.5% 86.5% -
Margin 7.6% 92.4% +13.7 (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.2% 71.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Log Adjusted 5.1% 94.9% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +16 (69-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 5 7 -
M. Lyons * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 2 3 10 16 -
T. Fow * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 9 16 -
E. Washington * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 0 10 18 -
T. Broekhuis * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 8 -
D. Brooks 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 10 15 -
M. Fitzgerald 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Z. Bohannon 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Stewart 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 8 2 0 1 20 36 -
O. Bellfield * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 3 9 14 -
A. Marshall * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 0 1 0 9 -
C. Stanback * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 20 25 -
Q. Thomas * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 5 3 8 17 -
J. Hawkins 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
D. Jasper 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 9 -
B. Massamba 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 1 3 -

* = starter