Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina A&T Aggies | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +18 (77-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina A&T Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Coleman * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 22 | - |
| R.J. Buck * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Marc Hill * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Adrian Powell * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Ray Lester * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nic Simpson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Austin Witter | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Underwood | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| DaMetrius Upchurch | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Lawrence Smith | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aric Brooks * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Larry Bastfield * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| DeWayne Jackson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Ameer Ali * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rodney Stokes * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Justin Black | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Thompson | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 38 | - |
| Adam Braswell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gene Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ian Chiles | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tola Lawal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter