Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Story * | 38 | 9-16 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 8 | - |
| D. Hunt * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| O. Czyz * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Burton * | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Conner | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Elliott | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Panzer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Cukic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Burris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hernst Laroche * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Troy Gillenwater * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Gordo Castillo * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 10-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Tyrone Watson * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Tshilidzi Nephawe * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Kabongo | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Bandja Sy | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| B.J. West | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter