Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarryd Cole * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Matt Gatens * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - |
| D. Marble * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Eric May | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Devon Archie | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Stoermer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalin Lucas * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 39 | - |
| Durrell Summers * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mike Kebler * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Keith Appling | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Delvon Roe | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Garrick Sherman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter