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2011-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.2% 63.8% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.5% 51.5% -
Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% -
Log Adjusted 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cole * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 1 3 8 14 -
M. Gatens * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 13 17 -
B. Cartwright * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 0 0 3 14 24 -
D. Marble * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 6 7 -
M. Basabe * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 6 5 -
E. May 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 7 14 -
Z. McCabe 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
A. Brommer 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Archie 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Stoermer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 11 17 -
D. Green * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 4 2 2 4 21 39 -
D. Summers * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 9 10 -
M. Kebler * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
A. Payne * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 10 -
K. Appling 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 10 11 -
D. Roe 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 5 14 -
A. Thornton 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
G. Sherman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 2 4 -
D. Nix 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -

* = starter