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2011-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 33.3% 66.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% -
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% -
Log Adjusted 21.3% 78.7% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +25 (81-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Butler III * 29 3-10 1-3 7-9 6 2 2 0 2 14 12 -
D. Johnson-Odom * 29 5-14 0-4 3-7 4 2 2 0 3 13 4 -
D. Buycks * 21 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
C. Otule * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 0 8 -
E. Williams * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Cadougan 23 1-7 0-0 5-7 3 2 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Crowder 22 3-9 2-5 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
V. Blue 19 0-3 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 1 1 0 -2 -
J. Jones 17 1-3 0-1 2-2 7 0 2 0 0 4 10 -
D. Gardner 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Fulce 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Frozena 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kuric * 37 4-11 3-10 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 11 7 -
P. Knowles * 31 5-10 3-5 2-3 8 7 1 0 1 15 20 -
C. Smith * 29 2-6 1-2 0-0 11 4 3 0 4 5 13 -
P. Siva * 27 3-9 0-3 2-4 4 9 0 0 2 8 10 -
T. Jennings * 17 5-9 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 2 12 6 -
M. Marra 24 7-11 6-10 2-2 2 3 1 2 0 22 19 -
G. Dieng 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 5 -
S. Van Treese 10 0-0 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 1 2 0 5 -
G. Goode 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
E. Justice 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Henderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Smith 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter