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2011-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 59.1% 40.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.0% 72.0% -
Margin 42.2% 57.8% +1.7 (36.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% -
Log Adjusted 20.9% 79.1% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +38 (89-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Gates * 34 4-10 0-0 4-6 9 2 0 3 2 12 14 -
D. Dixon * 34 5-11 3-9 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 15 5 -
R. Bishop * 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Wright * 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
I. Thomas * 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Kilpatrick 26 3-10 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 7 -1 -
D. Wilks 19 2-5 1-2 2-4 3 1 1 1 0 7 8 -
L. Davis 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Jackson 14 2-4 0-0 0-4 2 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
J. Parker 8 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
A. McBride 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. McClain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hansbrough * 36 8-11 2-5 5-5 4 6 1 0 2 23 21 -
C. Scott * 34 6-8 2-4 4-5 6 4 1 4 0 18 25 -
S. Martin * 32 5-10 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 11 8 -
T. Abromaitis * 29 6-12 4-7 1-3 6 4 1 0 2 17 14 -
T. Nash * 24 2-5 0-0 4-6 5 3 0 0 1 8 10 -
E. Atkins 18 1-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
J. Cooley 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 4 9 -
J. Brooks 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Knight 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Dragicevich 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Kopko 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter