Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -6 (61-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dairese Gary * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 3-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Phillip McDonald * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 31 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 13 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tony Snell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Kirk | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Ogide * | 37 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 33 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 17 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Travis Franklin * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Pierce Hornung | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Will Bell | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Andre McFarland | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter