Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Martin * | 44 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Kareem Nitoto * | 40 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 8-10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 23 | - |
| B.J. Shearry * | 39 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Javon Borum * | 36 | 5-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Bradshaw * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Daymond Cowlah | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tyquan Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Elliott Berry | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Lewis * | 41 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Chris O'Brien * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Maliik Love * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Lewis * | 23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Donahue * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| David Hanson | 41 | 6-18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 13 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Ben Eisenhardt | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Drake U'u | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter