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2011-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 2.7% 97.3% -
Bradley-Terry 90.0% 10.0% -
Margin 4.0% 96.0% +17.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 27.4% 72.6% -
Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Log Adjusted 6.7% 93.3% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +9 (78-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cunningham * 34 9-14 2-4 3-7 4 4 6 1 2 23 22 -
J. Burton * 30 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 4 1 1 2 9 11 -
O. Johnson * 24 1-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 2 2 -
R. Nelson * 20 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Brandt * 16 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Collier 28 4-6 0-0 1-4 7 0 1 2 3 9 10 -
A. Starks 27 6-15 4-9 1-1 2 3 0 0 0 17 7 -
K. McShane 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
C. Haynes 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Deane 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Wallace 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
D. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams * 35 8-12 5-6 1-2 7 0 2 0 3 22 16 -
S. Hill * 30 4-9 1-3 0-0 11 2 1 1 2 9 13 -
K. Parrom * 29 5-9 0-1 3-4 7 4 1 1 3 13 14 -
L. Jones * 27 4-13 3-6 2-2 0 2 1 0 3 13 0 -
J. Perry * 25 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 7 8 -
J. Horne 15 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
J. Mayes 13 1-4 0-2 2-3 0 1 2 0 1 4 2 -
B. Lavender 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Fogg 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 3 -
K. Natyazhko 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter