Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.6% | 44.4% | -1.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Keith Clanton * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Isaac Sosa * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dwight McCombs * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tom Herzog | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dave Diakite | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jarvis Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dogukan Kuzucan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Taylor Young | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jontae Sherrod * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Darrius Morrow * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Corvonn Gaines * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Erin Straughn * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jamar Abrams * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Brock Young | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | - |
| Robert Sampson | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Chad Wynn | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Wakefield Ellison | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Petar Torlak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darius Morales | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter