Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Jones * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 32 | - |
| Gabe Rogers * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Stallon Saldivar * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Shane Johannsen * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Durrell Norman * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eric Platt | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Austin Smith | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Julian Olubuyi | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DeAngelo Jones | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Beitzel * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 33 | - |
| Chris Kaba * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Neal Kingman * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Taylor Montgomery * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Elliott Lloyd * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tate Unruh | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Mike Proctor | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Paul Garnica | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter