Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.1 | ✓ (24.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen -28 (50-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Staten * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Chris Wright * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh Benson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Spearman | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Josh Parker | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Devin Searcy | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Devin Oliver | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Peter Zestermann | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Logan Nourse | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Vinson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Farrell * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| H. Bailey * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| G. Correia * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Gurley * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Putney | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| S. Carter | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| F. Riley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Morgan | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Carter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter