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2011-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Dayton Flyers UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 84.7% 15.3% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.1 (24.9 off)
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen -28 (50-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Staten * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 0 4 10 18 -
P. Williams * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 3 5 12 -
C. Wright * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 5 10 14 -
C. Johnson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 6 -
J. Benson * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 3 8 -
B. Spearman 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 9 14 -
J. Parker 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 11 15 -
D. Searcy 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
L. Fabrizius 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 13 14 -
D. Oliver 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Kavanaugh 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Hill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
P. Zestermann 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Nourse 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Vinson * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 3 6 -
J. Farrell * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 7 -
H. Bailey * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
G. Correia * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 0 2 -
A. Gurley * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 10 12 -
R. Putney 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 0 6 16 -
S. Carter 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 8 -
F. Riley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 15 15 -
J. Morgan 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 4 9 -
S. Carter 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 1 1 0 6 -

* = starter