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2011-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Saint Mary's Gaels Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - โœ“
Margin 11.0% 89.0% +11.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.3% 89.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“

Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Dowdell * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 7 11 -
Kevin Foster * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 18 28 -
Troy Payne * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
Marc Trasolini * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 22 26 -
Evan Roquemore * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 12 13 -
Michael Santos 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 1 4 -
Niyi Harrison 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
Raymond Cowels 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dellavedova * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 1 0 1 13 21 -
M. McConnell * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 10 14 -
S. Holt * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 15 17 -
R. Jones * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 2 8 13 -
T. Williams * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
M. Young 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 1 17 25 -
K. Walker II 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 8 14 -
C. Steindl 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter