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2011-03-06

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 5.7% 94.3% -
Bradley-Terry 8.9% 91.1% -
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% -
Efficiency 11.2% 88.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -
Log Adjusted 5.0% 95.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 5 11 -
C. Doolin * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 6 7 -
M. Williams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 21 25 -
R. Green * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 6 9 13 -
P. Blackwell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 15 23 -
M. Petrovic 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
M. Diarra 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
A. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Dickerson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Carter * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 18 22 -
E. Harris * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 12 15 -
S. Gray * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 7 14 -
R. Sacre * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 12 20 -
D. Goodson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 12 -
D. Stockton 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 3 9 14 -
S. Dower 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Hart 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
K. Olynyk 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 3 6 -
M. Monninghoff 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter