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2011-03-06

Model Predictions

Model VCU Rams George Mason Patriots Spread Result
Elo 62.3% 37.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% - โœ—
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 โœ— (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 30.0% 70.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% - โœ—

Actual: George Mason Patriots -16 (63-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jamie Skeen * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 21 26 -
Bradford Burgess * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 3 0 0 2 16 30 -
Joey Rodriguez * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 13 20 -
Ed Nixon * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 9 17 -
D.J. Haley * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 5 4 -
Brandon Rozzell 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 11 15 -
Darius Theus 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Rob Brandenberg 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Toby Veal 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Juvonte Reddic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cameron Long * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 4 20 24 -
Ryan Pearson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 2 10 18 -
Andre Cornelius * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Luke Hancock * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 4 8 -
Michael Morrison * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 8 -
Isaiah Tate 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 6 14 -
Vertrail Vaughns 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
Johnny Williams 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
Paris Bennett 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
Bryon Allen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
Rashad Whack 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jonathan Arledge 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter