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2011-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.3% 76.7% - โœ“
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.8 โœ“ (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +28 (93-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Taylor * 40 2-9 2-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 0 8 6 -
Josh Gasser * 36 7-10 2-3 1-1 6 1 0 0 0 17 14 -
Keaton Nankivil * 34 4-11 2-7 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 10 4 -
Jon Leuer * 28 7-15 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 16 6 -
Tim Jarmusz * 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 0 0 -
Mike Bruesewitz 16 2-3 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 1 1 5 3 -
Ryan Evans 14 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 2 1 3 4 -
Brett Valentyn 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jared Berggren 7 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 3 1 -
Robert Wilson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jon Diebler * 38 8-10 7-8 4-5 6 4 0 0 0 27 27 -
David Lighty * 36 5-8 2-2 1-2 6 3 1 0 2 13 13 -
William Buford * 36 6-8 3-3 3-3 5 4 1 0 2 18 18 -
Jared Sullinger * 33 8-14 0-0 6-8 8 0 0 0 1 22 15 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Aaron Craft 36 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 6 0 0 0 3 9 -
Deshaun Thomas 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
L. Smith Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jordan Sibert 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Eddie Days 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter