Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | +13.8 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +6 (49-43). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hanson | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Will Donahue | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Maliik Love | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Lewis | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Drake U'u | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Eisenhardt | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Joyner | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | - |
| James Nunnally | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Orlando Johnson | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Jon Pastorek | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Weiner | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Greg Somogyi | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Jaime Serna | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Troy Leaf | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Will Brew | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lucas Devenny | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter