๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Margin 10.7% 89.3% +11.7 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.9% 78.1% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joshua Lowery * 36 3-10 2-4 7-8 5 2 1 0 2 15 11 -
Mychel Thompson * 34 4-14 1-7 2-2 4 2 2 0 1 11 4 -
Taylor Darby * 32 3-10 0-0 1-9 10 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Lorne Jackson * 32 5-10 4-8 4-4 4 3 1 0 2 18 14 -
Corbin Moore * 22 1-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Dane Suttle 25 1-3 1-3 1-3 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Gus Clardy 18 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 2 6 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angelo Caloiaro * 32 3-8 1-5 1-2 9 1 1 0 1 8 10 -
Rashad Green * 31 8-13 4-7 3-4 10 4 0 0 0 23 24 -
Michael Williams * 30 6-12 2-5 0-0 5 4 2 0 2 14 11 -
Cody Doolin * 26 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 4 0 0 1 2 6 -
Perris Blackwell * 17 2-2 0-0 2-8 2 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
Marko Petrovic 23 4-6 2-4 1-3 2 0 1 0 2 11 6 -
Cole Dickerson 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Moustapha Diarra 13 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 10 8 -
Avery Johnson 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Justin Raffington 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter