Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lowery * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| M. Thompson * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Darby * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| L. Jackson * | 32 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Moore * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Suttle Jr. | 25 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Clardy | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Caloiaro * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Green * | 31 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 24 | - |
| M. Williams * | 30 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Doolin * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| P. Blackwell * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Petrovic | 23 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| C. Dickerson | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Diarra | 13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Raffington | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter