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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% - โœ—
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 โœ— (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 17.7% 82.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% - โœ—

Actual: Pacific Tigers -4 (54-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lenny Daniel 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 3 19 29 -
Rashaun McLemore 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 12 18 -
Dathan Lyles 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 1 6 -
Raymond Cody 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 1 13 14 -
Josh Greene 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 2 5 -
Aqeel Quinn 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 0 4 -
Thomas Jacobs 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 3 9 -
Vinnie McGhee 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
Michael Lizarraga 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
Jordan Mitchell 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
John Hayward-Mayhew 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Demetrece Young 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 3 0 2 6 13 -
Sam Willard 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 2 0 3 1 20 39 -
Terrell Smith 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 6 9 -
Allen Huddleston 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 16 16 -
Pat Eveland 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 7 -
Jose Rivera 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Nyika Williams 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 1 1 -
Khalil Kelley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Chuck Coley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter