Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Marcus Jordan * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Isaac Sosa * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dwight McCombs * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Young | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tom Herzog | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dave Diakite | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Kane * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 19 | - |
| T. Baines * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Pitts * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 37 | - |
| J. Thomas * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| N. Spikes * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| S. Johnson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Pena | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| O. Allen | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Fischer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Humphrey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter