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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.5% 35.5% -
Efficiency 67.9% 32.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% -
Log Adjusted 89.4% 10.6% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -6 (54-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hamilton * 36 6-17 2-7 0-0 9 2 2 0 0 14 10 -
T. Thompson * 35 7-10 0-0 5-9 13 0 0 3 1 19 24 -
C. Joseph * 32 3-11 0-4 0-1 3 2 0 0 2 6 -2 -
G. Johnson * 30 5-14 0-1 5-6 8 1 0 0 2 15 8 -
D. Balbay * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Hill 21 0-0 0-0 0-4 3 2 0 0 2 0 3 -
J. Brown 16 0-5 0-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
A. Wangmene 11 0-0 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 0 4 9 -
J. Lucas 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Dunn * 38 8-19 3-11 3-4 3 2 0 0 3 22 5 -
P. Jones * 34 2-6 0-0 5-6 11 2 0 2 5 9 13 -
A. Jones * 32 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
A.J. Walton * 29 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 4 4 -
J. Morgan * 26 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 0 4 9 -
Q. Acy 19 3-5 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
F. Ellis 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
S. Love 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 -

* = starter