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2011-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -
Efficiency 87.1% 12.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% -
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% -

Actual: Columbia Lions +17 (91-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McGonagill * 40 4-15 2-7 4-4 7 9 2 0 2 14 15 -
A. Williams * 37 2-11 0-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 -4 -
P. Sullivan * 34 6-18 0-4 9-12 5 3 1 0 0 21 12 -
A. McCarthy * 29 9-14 1-1 2-2 10 1 0 1 1 21 18 -
T. Halpern * 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Walker 28 3-6 0-1 3-6 5 2 0 0 0 9 10 -
C. Taylor 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
J. Biber 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Agho * 34 12-18 4-6 3-7 7 2 1 0 3 31 20 -
B. Barbour * 33 6-9 1-2 2-3 7 5 0 0 0 15 18 -
M. Lyles * 30 7-12 2-6 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 16 15 -
A. Ampim * 24 4-12 0-2 1-2 9 2 0 0 3 9 5 -
Z. Crimmins * 11 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 6 5 -
S. Frankoski 20 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
M. Johnson 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Daniels 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
V. Green 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
B. Grimes 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Craig 4 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Cisco 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Feldmann 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Kowalski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Egee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter